Zcash Orchard pool vulnerability proven not exploited by Dec 31, 2026?
ZcashOne-OffXadrezCorretorasEsportes2m
GeminiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem cotações ao vivo
Dados de 19 de out. de 2026, 10:05 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Probabilidade implícita atual
Proof of non-exploitation published 6.5%
Proof of non-exploitation published 6.5%Qualidade do mercado
29 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconhecidaCompra / Venda
4.0% / 9.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoTraders
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
9/06/26, 00:29 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Proof of non-exploitation published6.5%
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Regras
Will the June 2026 Zcash Orchard pool vulnerability be proven to have not been exploited by December 31, 2026?
- This market resolves to YES if, on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a Mathematical Proof is published and accepted by the Source Agency demonstrating that the June 2026 Zcash Orchard shielded-pool soundness vulnerability (the under-constrained element in the Orchard Action circuit in the halo2_gadgets crate, present since Orchard activation in May 2022, disclosed by the Zcash Open Development Lab and Shielded Labs, and remediated via the emergency network upgrade activated June 1-3, 2026) was NOT exploited in a production environment prior to the deployment of the official remediation.
- "Mathematical Proof" means a cryptographically valid, formally verified, or peer-reviewed publication that demonstrates with mathematical or cryptographic certainty that the vulnerability was or was not exploited prior to remediation (e.g., formal circuit verification, exploit reconstruction, chain-state proof, supply-audit/turnstile-accounting mechanism, or an equivalent technique) and that is accepted by the Source Agency.
- This market resolves to NO if, on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a Mathematical Proof is published and accepted by the Source Agency demonstrating that the vulnerability WAS exploited, OR if no qualifying Mathematical Proof (of either exploitation or non-exploitation) is published and accepted by the Source Agency on or before that date.
- (For clarity: a NO resolution covers two distinct situations -- (i) a proof that the vulnerability WAS exploited, and (ii) the absence of any accepted Mathematical Proof either way by the deadline.
- A NO share should not be read as a bet that exploitation occurred.)