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This event predicts whether Brazil will become a full member of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements or membership listings published by OPEC confirming Brazil’s admission as a full member.
- If OPEC officially confirms Brazil as a full member during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Participation as an observer, dialogue partner, or as a non-member associate of OPEC+ will not count.
- If official OPEC communications are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international energy news organizations.
