Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days?
Geopolitiek
PolymarketGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: Yes
Afgewikkeld: 28 nov 2023, 07:47
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja 100%
Marktkwaliteit
15 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
—
Liquiditeit onbekendMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 122 dagen geleden
Verouderd22 nov 23, 20:2231 dec 23, 0:00
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Regels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first ceasefire between Hamas and Israel pursuant to a hostage/prisoner exchange deal after the creation of this market lasts at least 4 full days (96 consecutive hours).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If no such ceasefire starts by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM IST (Israeli Standard Time), this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible information and reporting.
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+7.2pt78%
- October 31+18.5pt65%
- September 30+13.0pt42%
+17 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 17,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1 mln.
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22100%
- August 25+0.8pt100%
- August 31+4.0pt96%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No-6.0pt60.4%
- Yes+6.0pt39.6%
- Totaal volume
- € 8,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 285,5K
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 51,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 230,6K
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027+0.5pt68%
- December+2.0pt53%
- September 30,+3.5pt25%
+8 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)72%
- New People (NL)-0.2pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt5%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days??
- Polymarket prijst Yes op 100% per 25 april 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? afgewikkeld?
- Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2023 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first ceasefire between Hamas and Israel pursuant to a hostage/prisoner exchange deal after the creation of this market lasts at least 4 full days (96 consecutive hours).