PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 90.1%
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 7,9K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
9.0% / 10.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
19 aug 26, 22:40 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the “Stop climate shakedowns act” pass by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsIndia meets its 2030 climate goals?
KalshiUS meets its climate goals?
KalshiEU meets its 2030 climate goals?
KalshiBy end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population?
Manifold MarketsWill the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2050?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
- A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029.
- Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
- The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays.
- As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00).
- The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Open markten
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 586,2K
- 24u volume
- € 568,4K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIHighest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- 102° to 103°+55.0pt95.2%
- 100° to 101°-47.0pt1%
- 98° to 99°-9.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+47.0pt95.2%
- 90° to 91°-34.0pt1%
- 88° to 89°-6.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 85 F on September 8, 2026?
- Yes86%
- No14%
- Totaal volume
- € 108,2K
- 24u volume
- € 108,2K
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 86 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 87 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 89 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 88 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by which date??
- Polymarket prijst No op 90% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by which date? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.