PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenHuidige impliciete kans
December 31 35%-1.5%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
61 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 11,7K
Liquiditeit
€ 13K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
3.2% / 4.9%
Spread
53.1%
Brede spread7d wijziging
+1.0%
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden
6 feb 26, 0:2531 dec 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
December 3135%
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Drobysheve, Donetsk Oblast, (49°02'31.4"N 37°43'54.7"E) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Drobysheve will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.