Huidige impliciete kans
Nee 57%-1.5pt
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 14,5
Liquiditeit
€ 800,6
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
41.0% / 44.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
3
7d wijziging
+10.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 minuten geleden
27 mrt 26, 18:13 UTC31 dec 26, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal?
KalshiNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
PolymarketWhich leaders will leave office in 2026?
KalshiWho replaces Merz as Chancellor before the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French parliament passes a 2027 national budget (Loi de Finances pour 2027) and it is published in the Official Journal of France (Journal Officiel) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET (UTC+01:00).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying budget must provide funding for the entire year 2027.
- Special or emergency funding bills will not qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the French Government, specifically the Official Journal of France (Journal Officiel) (journal-officiel.gouv.fr).
- However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+12.0pt81.2%
- Yes-12.0pt18.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 15,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1 mln.
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.3pt19%
- Jon Ossoff+0.8pt17%
- Gavin Newsom+0.5pt13%
+48 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+3.0pt50%
- D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt34%
- R-House, R-Senate-3.0pt14%
+1 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 188,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 675,8K
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-2.0pt63%
- Nithya Raman+3.0pt37%
- Totaal volume
- € 27,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 642,6K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.5pt52.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt45.5%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt2%
+16 extra uitkomsten
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Next French Presidential Election
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Texas Senate winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will France pass a national budget by December 31??
- Polymarket prijst No op 57% per 15 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will France pass a national budget by December 31? afgewikkeld?
- Will France pass a national budget by December 31? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will France pass a national budget by December 31? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French parliament passes a 2027 national budget (Loi de Finances pour 2027) and it is published in the Official Journal of France (Journal Officiel) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET (UTC+01:00).