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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Politiek
  3. Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

1.0% (24u)One-OffPolitiekEuropeGeopolitiek6mnd
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja
Ja 9%-0.0%
Marktkwaliteit

52 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 2,7K

Liquiditeit

€ 17,6K

Gemiddelde liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

7.0% / 11.0%

Spread

57.1%

Brede spread
7d wijziging

-4.0%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden

16 jan 26, 17:4131 dec 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes9%

Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ursula von der Leyen ceases to be the President of the European Commission for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of von der Leyen's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Commission and the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ursula von der Leyen ceases to be the President of the European Commission for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of von der Leyen's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Commission and the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.