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  3. US bank failure by June 30?
US bank failure by June 30?

US bank failure by June 30?

0.5% (24u)One-OffBusiness & CorporateMacro & Economy18d
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja
Ja 19%+0.0%
Marktkwaliteit

36 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 293,5

Liquiditeit

€ 2,2K

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

17.0% / 20.0%

Spread

17.6%

Brede spread
7d wijziging

+8.5%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden

26 mei 26, 23:0530 jun 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes19%

Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List").

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe.
  • If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.

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Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List").

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe.
  • If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.