PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
37.5–37.9 43.1%+26.0ptKoploper van 6 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
37.5–37.9 43.1%+26.0ptMarktkwaliteit
48 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 1,3K
Liquiditeit
€ 1,3K
Lage liquiditeitSpread
6.0 pt
Brede spreadReacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 minuten geleden
29 sep 26, 00:22 UTC2 okt 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Polymarket
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Minimumorder (aandelen):
- 5
- Prijsstap:
- 1 procentpunten
- Kosten:
- Ja
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Trump's approval rating hit 37% or lower before Dec 1st 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/25-10/2)
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating drop below 35% (538/RCP average) at any point in 2026?
Manifold MarketsTrump's DDHQ job approval rating on Oct. 2?
PredictItUK governmental approval rating among women falls below 5% in 2026.
Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on October 2, 2026.
- Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
- The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.).
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi — Trump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026? · 38.5 to 38.7 38%