Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 89.5%
Voorspellers
6
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden
Verouderd9 mrt 26, 14:20 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
UK government approval among women falls below 5% this year (repost from last year)?
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KalshiTrump approval rating at least ___ on October 30?
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KalshiTrump approval rating on October 30?
PolymarketWill Trump's approval rating increase this week? (10/23-10/30)
KalshiRegels
Similar to last years market, lets do it again.
- According to
- https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/trackers/government-approval?crossBreak=female
- The UK government approval rating among women falls below 5% by the end of the year, or the government is dissolved, or is replaced by another at a time other than a normal election.
- If the government chooses to run an election this year (extremely early) and is voted out then it resolves N/A. At time of writing (9th of March), the rating is 10%, it reached 8% last year.