PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 1 sep 2026, 18:30 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
Nee 84%
Marktkwaliteit
30 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 1,1K
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
13.0% / 19.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Brede spreadReacties
2
7d wijziging
-5.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd16 dec 25, 0:361 jan 27, 4:59
Trends
Regels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Open markten
Politics
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.7pt100%
- Seth Moulton-0.6pt0%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 3,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.4%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.3%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 180,4 mln.
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.3pt39%
- Renan Santos+0.7pt3%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt61%
- October 31+1.5pt39%
- September 30-1.0pt20%
+17 extra uitkomsten
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Next French Presidential Election
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Supreme Court vacancy in 2026??
- Polymarket prijst No op 84% per 1 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.