Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of October 6, 2026
Latijns-AmerikaOne-OffWeerWacht op afwikkeling
PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Idaho 96%Koploper van 40 uitkomsten
Idaho 96%Marktkwaliteit
34 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 1,5K
Liquiditeit
€ 457,2
Lage liquiditeitSpread
49.9 pt
Brede spreadReacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 minuten geleden
1 okt 26, 13:00 UTC8 okt 26, 13:00 UTC
Trends
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Polymarket
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Minimumorder (aandelen):
- 5
- Prijsstap:
- 0,1 procentpunten
- Kosten:
- Ja
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KalshiWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 10% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 15% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 20% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 25% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed state that has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 6, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
- States appear only during the months in which they plausibly reach D4, so this event's roster changes through the year. 40 of the 48 coterminous states are in season for October: Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, the named outcome, the named outcome, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, Washington, the named outcome, Wisconsin, Wyoming.
- A state absent from this event is not making any claim about that state's drought — it simply has no market this week.
- Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.