SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
0.3 ptn (24u)ExchangeOne-OffAISpaceCorporate ActionsEquitiesTechBusiness & Corporate1j
PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
SpaceX 53%+0.3pt
Marktkwaliteit
33 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 188,2
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
26.7% / 79.0%
Spread
52.3 pt
Brede spreadReacties
5
7d wijziging
-10.4 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
30 jan 26, 23:19 UTC31 dec 27, 00:00 UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve to “SpaceX” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the official closing price for OpenAI’s market capitalization on its first trading day.
- This market will resolve to “OpenAI” if the official closing price for OpenAI’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day.
- This market will resolve to the company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, if the other company does not complete an IPO within the market timeframe.
- This market will resolve to the IPOed company as soon as it becomes impossible for the other company to complete an IPO within the market timeframe, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. - Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO within this market's timeframe, and their IPO closing market capitalizations are exactly equal. - Both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
- Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
