PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Raquel Lyra 54.9%-7.5ptKoploper van 3 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
75 / 100
Hoge kwaliteit24u volume
€ 3,5K
Liquiditeit
€ 21,2K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
+8.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 minuten geleden
10 jul 26, 01:31 UTC1 jul 27, 03:59 UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRegels
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi — Pernambuco Governor winner? · João Campos 36%