PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
December 31, 99%-0.1ptKoploper van 4 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
48 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 956,3
Liquiditeit
€ 2,3K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
5.8 pt
Brede spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
-42.3 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden
24 jul 26, 21:56 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0%
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4).
- The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
- Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Open markten
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 241,3K
- 24u volume
- € 128K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 349,4K
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
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- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
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- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Next Kimi K model released by which date??
- Polymarket prijst December 31, op 99% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Next Kimi K model released by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Next Kimi K model released by which date? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Next Kimi K model released by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.