PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
December 31, 8%-2.8ptKoploper van 5 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
62 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 947
Liquiditeit
€ 14,6K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
2.4 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
47
7d wijziging
-0.3 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 minuten geleden
24 nov 25, 18:27 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Hezbollah disarm by which date?
PolymarketHezbollah disarms by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext Secretary-General of the United Nations
PolymarketWho will be the next UN Secretary-General?
KalshiRafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.
Manifold MarketsWhich Regional Group will the next UN Secretary-General come from?
Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.