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  3. Megaquake by June 30?
Megaquake by June 30?

Megaquake by June 30?

1.0% (24u)One-OffWetenschap18d
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja
Ja 7%-0.0%
Marktkwaliteit

44 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 6,4

Liquiditeit

€ 5,5K

Gemiddelde liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

6.0% / 7.0%

Spread

16.7%

Brede spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden

29 dec 25, 23:0730 jun 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes7%

Regels

A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
  • If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the seventh day after the resolution time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
  • If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$62,867.10+2.52%EthereumETH$1,658.07+1.88%SolanaSOL$65.28+1.86%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.73%XRPXRP$1.12+0.74%BNBBNB$596.82+1.84%

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Regels

A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
  • If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the seventh day after the resolution time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
  • If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.