Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 28%?
0.5 ptn (24u)PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezing12d
PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Over 88%+0.5pt
Marktkwaliteit
57 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 103,1
Liquiditeit
€ 5K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
86.0% / 90.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
+18.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
20 aug 26, 18:33 UTC20 sep 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Over” if SPD wins at least 28% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve to “Under” if SPD wins less than 28% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party.
- Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.