PolymarketGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: No
Afgewikkeld: 2 jul 2026, 11:34
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Winnende Uitkomst
No
Op 7 dagen afstand
—
Op 24 uur afstand
100%
ConsensusHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 100%
Marktkwaliteit
23 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 1,1K
Liquiditeit
—
Liquiditeit onbekendBied / Laat
- / 0.1%
7d wijziging
-1.1 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 60 dagen geleden
Verouderd3 mrt 26, 23:1830 jun 26, 0:00
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
No100%
Yes0%
100%
0%
Regels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
- A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
- The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified.
- A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
