PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
December 13%+3.5pt
Marktkwaliteit
51 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 175,4
Liquiditeit
€ 4,1K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
11.0% / 15.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
2
7d wijziging
+3.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden
24 jul 26, 22:03 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Kimi K4 released in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Kimi K4 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K4 (e.g., Kimi K4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K3.0, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K3.
- The release of any model within the Kimi K4 family will qualify as “Kimi K4”.
- Products labeled as Kimi K3.5 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Open markten
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-2.0pt59.8%
- 2027-8.0pt30.8%
- 2026+1.0pt9.3%
- Totaal volume
- € 225,9K
- 24u volume
- € 157K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,4 mln.
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.5pt58.1%
- ChatGPT+1.4pt26.7%
- Grok-2.4pt5.7%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+6.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+7.0pt9%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+6.0pt79.1%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.8%
- Gemini2.7%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 348,3K
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- OpenAI market share this week
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- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Kimi K4 released by which date??
- Polymarket prijst December op 13% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Kimi K4 released by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Kimi K4 released by which date? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Kimi K4 released by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.