Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
Geopolitiek
PolymarketGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is gesloten en wacht op bevestigde afwikkeling.
Niet-geverifieerde afwikkelingsdata
Deze uitkomst is afgeleid of wordt niet ondersteund door provider-grade afwikkelingsbewijs.
Huidige impliciete kansDecember 31 100%+2.0ptKoploper van 9 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 20,2 mln.
Liquiditeit
€ 4,9 mln.
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Strakke spread7d wijziging
+9.7 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 93 dagen geleden
Verouderd28 feb 26, 14:4031 mrt 26, 0:00
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
December 3199%
April 3096%
April 15100%
June 30100%
May 15100%
April 7100%
March 70%
March 150%
March 310%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Deze markt is gesloten. Oefenhandel is alleen beschikbaar op open markten.
Platforms vergelijken· December 31
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDeze paginaBeste algemeen | Laag | 100% | — | € 20,2 mln. | € 4,9 mln. | 93 dagen geleden | |
 Manifold Markets80% overeenkomst · auto | — | 100% | — | — | — | 95 dagen geleden | Openen → |
Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by which date?
Gesloten
100%
100%
100%
+3 extra uitkomsten
Gemeenschapsvoorspelling34 voorspellersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
- A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
- This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
- Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Gerelateerde Markten
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
€ 853KJuly 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by which date?
€ 745,1KAugust 31: 98%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
€ 557,5KAugust 31: 73%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Lockheed Martin (LMT) Up or Down - Daily
€ 78,9KJa: 44%
LIMITLESS
LIMITLESS
US-Iran nuclear deal?
€ 21,2KBefore Aug 1, 2026: 0%
KALSHI
KALSHI
What will Rachel Maddow say during her show?
€ 21,1KCeasefire: 15%KALSHI
KALSHIActief in deze onderwerpen
Gerelateerd Nieuws
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsPolymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation reportBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Hormuz traffic 'Yes' sinks to 1.15% after Trump strike threatBlockchain.News
US freezes $131M in Iran-linked crypto as Middle East tensions riseCointelegraphRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
- A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
- This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
- Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.