PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenHuidige impliciete kansMojtaba Khamenei 68%-2.4%Koploper van 123 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
100 / 100
Hoge kwaliteit24u volume
€ 19,4K
Liquiditeit
€ 1,3 mln.
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
68.3% / 68.4%
Spread
0.1%
Strakke spread7d wijziging
-2.2%
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
1 mrt 26, 0:2831 dec 26, 0:00
Trends
Gekozen uitkomst
Mojtaba Khamenei68%
Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets
Leader of Iran at end of 2026?
6mnd
65.7%
2.6%
0.2%
+21 extra uitkomsten
Gemeenschapsvoorspelling212 voorspellersType: multiple choice
Totaal volume€ 43,2K
24u volume€ 142,4
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegels
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
- Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
- If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
- Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
- Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
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This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
- Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
- If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
- Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
- Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.