PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Republican Party 93%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
68 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 12,3
Liquiditeit
€ 30,4K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadComments
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 minuten geleden
28 jan 26, 21:363 nov 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
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Regels
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi — IA-04 House winner? · Chris McGowan 90%
Open markten
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+3.0pt18.9%
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.2%
+44 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 163 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 919,3K
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance+0.9pt23%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.4pt14%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt11%
+125 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt23%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt15%
- Jon Ossoff-0.1pt15%
+125 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- Golf / Golfer / Golfing99%
- Sleepy Joe99%
- Kamala99%
+28 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 582,1K
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+4.0pt63.3%
- Ralph Norman-4.0pt28.4%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 12,7 mln.
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
- J.D. Vance47%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
+125 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor IA-04 House Election Winner?
- Polymarket prijst Republican Party op 93% per 24 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt IA-04 House Election Winner afgewikkeld?
- IA-04 House Election Winner wordt naar verwachting op 3 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt IA-04 House Election Winner afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- Waar wordt IA-04 House Election Winner nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Kalshi.