KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Chris McGowan 90.3%Marge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 3,2K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
5.3% / 9.9%
Spread
4.6 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 30 minuten geleden
7 jan 26, 1:073 nov 27, 15:00
Trends
Regels
If the House member sworn in for IA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for IA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — IA-04 House Election Winner · Republican Party 93%
Open markten
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+3.0pt18.9%
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.2%
+44 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 163 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 919,3K
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance+0.9pt23%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.4pt14%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt11%
+125 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt23%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt15%
- Jon Ossoff-0.1pt15%
+125 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- Golf / Golfer / Golfing99%
- Sleepy Joe99%
- Kamala99%
+28 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 582,1K
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+4.0pt63.3%
- Ralph Norman-4.0pt28.4%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 12,7 mln.
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
- J.D. Vance47%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
+125 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor IA-04 House winner??
- Kalshi prijst Chris McGowan op 90% per 24 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt IA-04 House winner? afgewikkeld?
- IA-04 House winner? wordt naar verwachting op 3 november 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt IA-04 House winner? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the House member sworn in for IA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Waar wordt IA-04 House winner? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Polymarket.