PolymarketGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: Very Strong Typhoon
Afgewikkeld: 1 sep 2026, 11:21
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 1 sep 2026, 11:20 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
Very Strong Typhoon 100%+0.4ptKoploper van 5 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 211,1
Liquiditeit
€ 86,3K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
0.1 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
+1.9 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 dagen geleden
Verouderd20 aug 26, 15:12 UTC1 sep 26, 03:59 UTC
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Very Strong Typhoon100%
Severe Tropical Storm0%
Violent Typhoon0%
Typhoon0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regels
This market resolves based on the maximum intensity that the named outcome Saudel (JMA designation T2618) reaches at any point on or before 11:59 PM ET on August 31, 2026, using the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) advisories (https://www.jma.go.jp/bosai/map.html#contents=typhoon&lang=en).
- Resolution is by wind speed: take the highest 10-minute maximum sustained wind speed JMA reports for Saudel in any single advisory during its lifetime, and the market for the one category whose range contains that value resolves "Yes." The categories are defined solely by these inclusive knot ranges: the named outcome (34-47 kt), the named outcome (48-63 kt), Typhoon (64-84 kt), the named outcome (85-104 kt), and the named outcome (105 kt or higher).
- These names label the wind-speed ranges; JMA's own strength wording need not appear in an advisory for a category to resolve.
- The peak must occur on or before the deadline, though the confirming JMA data may be published later.
- Saudel is already a the named outcome, so its peak is at least "the named outcome".
- The wind speed in JMA's issued advisories is final and is not changed by any later reclassification or post-season best-track reanalysis.
