PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
8–9% 27.9%+0.5ptKoploper van 7 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 28,2K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
7.0 pt
Brede spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
-3.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 minuten geleden
2 sep 26, 18:26 UTC7 nov 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Polymarket
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Minimumorder (aandelen):
- 5
- Prijsstap:
- 1 procentpunten
- Kosten:
- Ja
Regels
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of the Black vote won by Republicans in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
- This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
- For purposes of this market, the terms "Black" and "African-American" will be considered synonymous.
- In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
- In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
Open markten
US Politics
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+2.0pt62.4%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt28.7%
- Republicans sweep-0.5pt7.9%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 16,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,5 mln.
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase52.5%
- No change-1.0pt45.5%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.6pt65%
- October 31-4.0pt35%
- September 30-3.0pt8%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt4%
- September 30-0.6pt0%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 61 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 540,5K
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Totaal volume
- € 59,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 539,1K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio-0.5pt15%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 617,7 mln.
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- What will Trump say during his United Nations meetings?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Florida Governor winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Texas Senate winner?
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor GOP Black vote share??
- Polymarket prijst 8–9% op 27.9% per 23 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt GOP Black vote share? afgewikkeld?
- GOP Black vote share? wordt naar verwachting op 7 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt GOP Black vote share? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- Waar wordt GOP Black vote share? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Kalshi.