KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Above 8% 82%Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
41 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 7,4K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
7.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 minuten geleden
16 sep 26, 21:00 UTC6 nov 26, 16:59 UTC
Trends
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
Regels
If the Republican share of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The value is the percentage shown in the Republican (or Rep.) column of the aggregate Black row in the national U.S. House exit poll table.
- The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026.
- If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time.
- If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.
- If the Republican share of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
Open markten
US PoliticsKALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+2.0pt62.4%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt28.7%
- Republicans sweep-0.5pt7.9%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 16,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,5 mln.
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase52.5%
- No change-1.0pt45.5%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.6pt65%
- October 31-4.0pt35%
- September 30-3.0pt8%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt4%
- September 30-0.6pt0%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 61 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 540,5K
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Totaal volume
- € 59,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 539,1K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio-0.5pt15%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 617,7 mln.
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- What will Trump say during his United Nations meetings?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Florida Governor winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Texas Senate winner?
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Midterms: Republican share of Black vote??
- Kalshi prijst Above 8% op 82% per 23 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Midterms: Republican share of Black vote? afgewikkeld?
- Midterms: Republican share of Black vote? wordt naar verwachting op 6 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Midterms: Republican share of Black vote? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the Republican share of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Waar wordt Midterms: Republican share of Black vote? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Polymarket.