Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?
0.1 ptn (24u)One-OffPolitiekVerkiezingGeopolitiekChessSport3mnd
PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 96%-0.1pt
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 10,7K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
3.5% / 5.0%
Spread
1.5 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
+0.1 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 minuten geleden
25 mrt 26, 16:55 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC) and the Conservative Party of Canada (CPC), the CPC becomes the favorite in the "338Canada Seat Projection" (https://338canada.com/federal.htm#projection) at any published data point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Equal seat projections will not qualify; the CPC must have a strictly higher seat projection than the LPC.
- Confidence intervals will not be considered; only the main seat projection number will be used.
- Revisions indicating a qualifying projection that are released within this market’s timeframe will be considered, but will not invalidate a previously released data point that resolved the market.
- Revisions published after the specified timeframe will not be considered.