Is ICE going to be deployed in polls this midterms?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezingGeopolitiekAmerikaanse tussentijdse verkiezingen 20264d
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 76.4%
Voorspellers
12
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 minuten geleden
31 mrt 26, 14:36 UTC1 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agents are deployed to polling locations, early voting sites, or ballot drop boxes during the 2026 midterm elections in November.
- Deployment includes uniformed or armed ICE personnel stationed at, patrolling, or conducting operations within the immediate vicinity of voting locations with the apparent intent to monitor voters or conduct immigration enforcement.
- This market resolves NO if the 2026 midterm elections occur without ICE deployment to polling locations as defined above.
- Resolution will be determined by reporting from major news outlets and official statements from state election officials and the Department of Homeland Security.
- The Trump administration's deployment of ICE agents to airports has renewed discussion about the possibility of ICE going to the polls in November, with Steve Bannon urging President Trump to treat the airport deployment as a dress rehearsal for the 2026 midterms.
