Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share? (Higher Strikes)
38.0 ptn (24u)PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezingLatijns-AmerikaWacht op afwikkeling
PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
44-47% 99%+38.0ptKoploper van 6 uitkomsten
44-47% 99%+38.0ptMarktkwaliteit
59 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 20,9K
Liquiditeit
€ 95,1K
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0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 minuten geleden
2 okt 26, 18:13 UTC5 okt 26, 02:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva in the first round of this election.
- The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- This market will resolve based on the official vote count.