KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
At least 37% 88%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
30 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 1,4K
Lage liquiditeitSpread
9.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
1 sep 26, 02:00 UTC4 okt 27, 14:00 UTC
Trends
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If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 37% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- The percentage is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's share of the valid votes cast in the first round, calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results.
- Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round)?
- Kalshi prijst At least 37% op 88% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round) afgewikkeld?
- Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round) wordt naar verwachting op 4 oktober 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round) afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 37% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.