Huidige impliciete kans
Nee 95%+0.0pt
Marktkwaliteit
49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 74,9
Liquiditeit
€ 1,7K
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
2.0% / 7.2%
Spread
5.2 pt
Brede spread7d wijziging
-0.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 19 minuten geleden
2 apr 26, 19:5431 dec 26, 17:00
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Yes5%
Platforms vergelijken· No
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketDeze paginaBeste algemeen | Laag | 95% | +90pt | € 74,9 | € 1,7K | 19 minuten geleden | |
 Futuur88% overeenkomst · auto | Laag | 96% | +91pt | € 0 | € 577,7 | 19 minuten geleden | Openen → |
Ook beschikbaar op Futuur
Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?
5mnd
96%
4%
32 • Lage kwaliteitSpread onbekendLage liquiditeitDunne markt
Totaal volume€ 5,4
24u volume€ 0
FUTUURRegels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a quantum-resistant protocol upgrade is activated on the Bitcoin mainnet.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- To qualify, the upgrade must satisfy all of the following: - The upgrade must constitute a consensus-layer change to the Bitcoin protocol that is live and enforced on the Bitcoin mainnet by the deadline.
- Proposals, drafts, code releases, miner signaling, node adoption, or activation on testnets or alternative networks do not qualify on their own. - The upgrade must enable the use of a post-quantum-secure signature scheme for standard Bitcoin transactions on the Bitcoin mainnet.
- The scheme must be intended to provide meaningful resistance against quantum attacks on transaction signing (e.g., attacks against ECDSA or successor schemes).
- Purely theoretical proposals, wallet-level changes, off-chain solutions, layer-2 systems, or other non-consensus-layer mitigations do not qualify. - The upgrade must make such quantum-resistant transaction types valid under Bitcoin consensus rules and generally available for use on the Bitcoin mainnet, even if their use is optional or not yet widely adopted.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Volumetrend
$859 jul7d aan data28 jul
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a quantum-resistant protocol upgrade is activated on the Bitcoin mainnet.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- To qualify, the upgrade must satisfy all of the following: - The upgrade must constitute a consensus-layer change to the Bitcoin protocol that is live and enforced on the Bitcoin mainnet by the deadline.
- Proposals, drafts, code releases, miner signaling, node adoption, or activation on testnets or alternative networks do not qualify on their own. - The upgrade must enable the use of a post-quantum-secure signature scheme for standard Bitcoin transactions on the Bitcoin mainnet.
- The scheme must be intended to provide meaningful resistance against quantum attacks on transaction signing (e.g., attacks against ECDSA or successor schemes).
- Purely theoretical proposals, wallet-level changes, off-chain solutions, layer-2 systems, or other non-consensus-layer mitigations do not qualify. - The upgrade must make such quantum-resistant transaction types valid under Bitcoin consensus rules and generally available for use on the Bitcoin mainnet, even if their use is optional or not yet widely adopted.