PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 98%+0.4pt
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 7,2K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
1.3% / 2.9%
Spread
1.6 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
+0.3 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
8 apr 26, 22:16 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Kurt Cobain's death case be reopened?
Manifold MarketsAlcatraz transfer language passed by either chamber by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf there are 100+ inmates at alligator alcatraz will there be a prison break of 1 or more inmates by end of 2027?
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PolymarketRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program.
- Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
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- € 1,1 mld.
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POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
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- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
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- Ron DeSantis3%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 extra uitkomsten
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KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Alcatraz reopened in 2026??
- Polymarket prijst No op 98% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Alcatraz reopened in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Alcatraz reopened in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Alcatraz reopened in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.