Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 89.9%
Voorspellers
11
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 uur geleden
Verouderd15 apr 26, 07:06 UTC1 jan 27, 05:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement?
KalshiWill Samuel Alito leave Supreme Court in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative?
Manifold MarketsWill Clarence Thomas break the record for longest tenured US Supreme Court Justice?
Manifold MarketsWill Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by which date?
PolymarketWhat cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?
KalshiRegels
Leaving for any reason counts as YES - resignation (effective in 2026), death, impeachment, etc.
Open markten
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 695,7K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 24,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 294,7K
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 54,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 291,3K
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Clarence Thomas leave Supreme Court in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 90% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Clarence Thomas leave Supreme Court in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will Clarence Thomas leave Supreme Court in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Clarence Thomas leave Supreme Court in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Leaving for any reason counts as YES - resignation (effective in 2026), death, impeachment, etc.