Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezing2mnd
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 75%
Voorspellers
29
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 22 minuten geleden
31 jul 24, 02:04 UTC1 jan 27, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Samuel Alito leave Supreme Court in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Clarence Thomas leave Supreme Court in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any sitting Supreme Court justice leave before 2027?
Manifold MarketsNext Justice to leave the US Supreme Court
FutuurWill a liberal justice leave the Supreme Court during Trump's presidential term?
Manifold MarketsAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves YES if the next justice to leave the US Supreme Court for any reason (i.e., death, retirement, impeachment) is a conservative.
- The current conservative justices are John Roberts, Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh, and Amy Coney Barrett.
- Resolves NO if the next justice to leave is not one of these conservative justices.
- The question will resolve once the next justice officially vacates their post.
