Yemen fragmented into 2 or more internationally recognized countries by EOY 2028?
PolitiekOne-OffGeopolitiekMiddle East2jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingPartial - De facto separation exists but no formal international recognition by EOY 2028 65.9%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
7
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+18.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd6 jan 26, 07:42 UTC1 jan 29, 18:29 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will there be a new internationally recognized country before 2030?
Manifold Marketswill any AI become a citizen of any internationally recognized country before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Catalonia (Catalunya) gain internationally recognized independence before 2030?
Manifold MarketsIsrael military action against Yemen by which date?
PolymarketSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
PolymarketTrump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?
PolymarketRegels
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves based on the international recognition status of Yemen's political entities by December 31, 2028:
- Yes: Two or more independent states achieve formal international recognition (e.g., UN membership, diplomatic recognition from major powers).
- This includes scenarios where South Arabia, a Houthi state, or other entities gain recognized statehood.
- Partial: De facto territorial separation exists with functioning parallel governments and institutions, but no formal international recognition of independent statehood is achieved.
- No: Yemen remains unified under a single internationally recognized government, regardless of internal fragmentation or de facto autonomous zones.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mld.
- 24u volume
- € 2,1 mln.
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-33.7pt51%
- Delcy Rodríguez+29.5pt42%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 29,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 621,6K
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 19,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 488,8K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Yemen fragmented into 2 or more internationally recognized countries by EOY 2028??
- Manifold Markets prijst Partial - De facto separation exists but no formal international recognition by EOY 2028 op 66% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Yemen fragmented into 2 or more internationally recognized countries by EOY 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Yemen fragmented into 2 or more internationally recognized countries by EOY 2028? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Yemen fragmented into 2 or more internationally recognized countries by EOY 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution Criteria