Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 88%
Voorspellers
41
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
14 okt 26, 23:43 UTC31 okt 26, 23:43 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will free Gemini app users get access to Gemini 4 Argon by November 15, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Zvi write a full report on Muse Wonder?
Manifold MarketsNext Gemini Argon released by which date?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves to YES if Zvi writes a post centered around Gemini 4 Argon before the deadline, that focuses on capabilities.
- A post primarily about its safety report DOES NOT COUNT.
- Resolves to NO if Zvi does not write such a post.
- Market will not resolve early to avoid leaking information, except if the post is up and this thus resolves YES.