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Gegevens van 8 sep 2026, 20:56 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 99%
Voorspellers
25
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd3 feb 24, 14:27 UTC1 mrt 27, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will we get a cure for cancer before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill we get a cure for cancer before 2037?
Manifold MarketsWill we get a cure for cancer before 2038?
Manifold MarketsWill the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?
KalshiFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
PolymarketSkin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by which date?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves as YES if 95% of individuals diagnosed with cancer are alive and cancer-free (complete remission) 18 months after initial diagnosis, in a least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.
- In order for this question to resolve as YES, there has to be credible evidence in each qualifying country that this threshold has been reached.
- This evidence (e.g. clinical studies) must take into consideration patients diagnosed with cancer at least 18 months prior to January 1st 2027.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-bf2acb801224
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-e2cd2abbbed6
Open markten
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Totaal volume
- € 15,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 20,3K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.6pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 8K
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Totaal volume
- € 84,1K
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Totaal volume
- € 652,6K
- 24u volume
- € 3,4K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 865,4K
- 24u volume
- € 3K
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 915,2K
- 24u volume
- € 1,2K
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will we get a cure for cancer before 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 99% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will we get a cure for cancer before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will we get a cure for cancer before 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 1 maart 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will we get a cure for cancer before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves as YES if 95% of individuals diagnosed with cancer are alive and cancer-free (complete remission) 18 months after initial diagnosis, in a least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.