Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 07:03 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 73%
Voorspellers
13
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd12 apr 26, 16:45 UTC31 dec 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Viktor Orbán establishes legal residence in the United States or is granted asylum/protected status by the U.S. government at any point between the market's creation and December 31, 2028.
- It resolves to NO if he does not.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the U.S. government, credible international news reporting, or documented legal proceedings confirming his arrival or residency status.
- Viktor Orbán has served as the Prime Minister of Hungary since 2010.
- His political stance is often characterized by conservative nationalist policies and has frequently drawn criticism from European Union institutions and international organizations.
