Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 89%
Voorspellers
18
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 minuten geleden
5 jan 26, 16:29 UTC31 dec 26, 16:29 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
PolymarketWill the US capture another world leader in 2026?
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PolymarketWill the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
PolymarketU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
PolymarketWill Trump take back the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Venezuela (through its government, military, or state-affiliated actors) takes any direct military, cyber, or armed action against U.S. targets, personnel, or interests in response to the January 2026 U.S. strikes.
- This includes attacks on U.S. military assets, diplomatic facilities, or U.S. citizens abroad.
- The action must occur within 12 months of January 3, 2026,.
- On January 3, 2026, the United States military attacked Venezuela, capturing sitting Venezuelan president Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores.
- The attack, codenamed Absolute Resolve, began around 02:00 a.m. local time when explosions were observed.
