Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 81.7%
Voorspellers
7
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd21 aug 26, 01:44 UTC31 dec 26, 17:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
When will U.S. debt hit 50 trillion USD?
Manifold MarketsWill the US national debt be above $40 trillion by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US national debt reach $50 trillion by 2030?
Manifold MarketsUS defaults on debt by 2027?
PolymarketPeak US National Debt before 2027?
PolymarketAnother US debt downgrade before 2027?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves YES if the U.S. Treasury's reported Total Public Debt Outstanding reaches or exceeds $41,000,000,000,000 at any time through 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- Use the latest official value if Treasury later corrects a publication.
- Primary source: Treasury FiscalData — Debt to the Penny.
- The market closes 12 hours before the deadline.
Open markten
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.4%-1.5pt100%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 273,3K
- 24u volume
- € 6,6K
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.85%-26.0pt41%
- 4.82%-37.5pt39%
- 4.91%-12.5pt35%
+6 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 4.74% or above99%
- 4.72% or above99%
- 4.66% or above99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 6,1K
- 24u volume
- € 6,1K
KALSHI30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 5.17% or above99%
- 5.11% or above99%
- 5.13% or above99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 6K
- 24u volume
- € 6K
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 4.35% or above99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.33% or above99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 5,5K
- 24u volume
- € 5,5K
KALSHI5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 4.53% or above99%
- 4.47% or above99%
- 4.41% or above99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 5,1K
- 24u volume
- € 5,1K
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- SOFR for September 8, 2026
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
- US defaults on debt by 2027?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will US gross federal debt reach $41 trillion before 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 82% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will US gross federal debt reach $41 trillion before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will US gross federal debt reach $41 trillion before 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will US gross federal debt reach $41 trillion before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if the U.S. Treasury's reported Total Public Debt Outstanding reaches or exceeds $41,000,000,000,000 at any time through 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.