Will "Update on the Alex Bores campaign" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
PolitiekOne-Off1jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 96.7%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Verouderd27 apr 26, 20:31 UTC1 feb 28, 00:00 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Update on the Alex Bores campaign is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Open markten
PoliticsKALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt84%
- Republican Party16%
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- 24u volume
- € 812,4K
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- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
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+45 extra uitkomsten
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KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+1.0pt46.6%
- D-House, R-Senate35.9%
- R-House, R-Senate-1.0pt15.5%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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- Helena Foulkes-1.4pt98%
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- Gregory Stevens-0.1pt0%
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva52%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.3pt45.1%
- Renan Santos+0.8pt2%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-1.0pt74%
- New People (NL)+0.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.2pt3%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will "Update on the Alex Bores campaign" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 97% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will "Update on the Alex Bores campaign" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? afgewikkeld?
- Will "Update on the Alex Bores campaign" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? wordt naar verwachting op 1 februari 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will "Update on the Alex Bores campaign" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.