Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezing2jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 94.4%
Voorspellers
45
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd12 jul 25, 22:21 UTC21 jan 29, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
This market resolves Yes if Nate Silver's aggregator currently sited here: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin ever shows Donald Trump's current approval rating as 47.0% or higher between now and when he ends his second presidential term for any reason.
- Otherwise, if Trump dies, is successfully removed via impeachment, or ends his second term for any reason, this market will resolve No once any pending polls are added.
- The spirit of this market pertains to actual approval of Trump's actual legal term, so if his second term is extended via autocratic action or if postmortem polls are added for some glitchy/negligent reason, the market will have already resolved and will stay resolved.
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