Will Donald Trump’s approval rating at the end of his second term be at least as low as Joe Biden’s?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiek2jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 80.8%
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24
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 27 minuten geleden
10 feb 25, 03:21 UTC20 jan 29, 04:59 UTC
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Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
Manifold MarketsTrump's approval rating (Gallup) will fall to 24% or below before the end of his second term
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends?
Manifold MarketsHow low will Trump's approval rating get during his term?
KalshiIf protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up?
Manifold MarketsTrump's approval rating on Oct 30, 2026?
KalshiRegels
Based on 538 aggregate approval on January 20 2029 (Trump) vs January 20 2025 (Biden).
- A suitable replacement aggregator will be found if necessary.
- Resolves N/A if either Trump isn’t president on the morning of January 20 2029.
- If Trump refuses to leave office the question will still resolve based on his approval rating on January 20.
- Tie resolves TRUE.
- Biden’s approval rating on Jan 20 2025: 37%
