Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 06:50 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 95.1%
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83
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd21 jan 25, 19:45 UTC29 jan 40, 05:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed)
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PolymarketRegels
Will Trump break the 22nd amendment and get a third term? I don’t know if it would violent, or somehow peaceful, but resolves positively if Trump gets inaugurated president a third time.
- For the record I’m completely against this in every way possible, but I think it’s important to model risks.