Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 80%
Voorspellers
13
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd9 jan 23, 18:07 UTC1 jan 28, 07:59 UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRegels
Tim Urban, the creator of waitbutwhy.com
- This is one of a series of markets regarding whether select individuals or organizations that I follow will become Manifold users and create at least one market by the end of 2027 (~5 years).
- The time period is intentionally long, as these markets measure both (i) the propensity of the given person/organization to join Manifold, and (ii) Manifold's anticipated adoption by the public over time.
- To resolve positively, I must be reasonably confident that the Manifold account really is the entity they purport to be.
- IMO, it will be key for Manifold to attract public figures and organizations; this will (i) provide pre-earned credibility for these accounts as market creators (which encourages trading), and (ii) will attract the follower base of these users to Manifold as traders.
Open markten
SportsKALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka+6.0pt74.5%
- Linda Noskova-5.0pt25.5%
- Totaal volume
- € 12,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 11,2 mln.
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 24 mln.
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Totaal volume
- € 15,6K
- 24u volume
- € 1,9 mln.
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 24,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,9 mln.
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,1 mln.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
- US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
- Tiafoe vs Michelsen
- Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
- United Arab Emirates vs Bangladesh
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (Sep 7, 2026)
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- Amgen Irish Open Winner
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- Real Madrid vs Inter
- US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Tim Urban create a market on Manifold by end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 80% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Tim Urban create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will Tim Urban create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Tim Urban create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Tim Urban, the creator of waitbutwhy.com