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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd8 apr 23, 18:49 UTC1 jan 31, 18:29 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses sell at least 10 million units by December 31, 2026?
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Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiRegels
Popular - subjective.
- I'll clarify the criteria as things unfold.
- The idea is that if you can give image inputs to GPT-4 and get back natural language description of the scene, and you can use the description to do task planning, etc, then integration into a smart glasses which processes things you see in real time, it could be v valuable even in jobs which don't directly require one to work with computers, or aren't easily automated (i think the phrase is blue collar work is the phrase, but I'm not familiar with it).
- The integration doesn't have to output text to the smartglasses screen.
- It could take a sequence of actions, have voice integration, or produce outputs in other modalities or forms.
- Something like huggingGPT would also work.
Open markten
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-3.0pt56.3%
- ChatGPT-3.3pt24.3%
- Grok+2.4pt7.8%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 102,1K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,4 mln.
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- Anthropic / Claude+62.0pt99%
- Video+55.0pt99%
- Royalty / Licensing+63.0pt99%
+14 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027-0.5pt62.5%
- 2026-10.0pt25%
- September 30, 2026-4.0pt12.5%
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 extra uitkomsten
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 4.1%+8.0pt99%
- Above 3.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.2%99%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 44,4K
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will there exist popular smart glasses with LLM integration by 2030??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 86% per 10 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will there exist popular smart glasses with LLM integration by 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Will there exist popular smart glasses with LLM integration by 2030? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2031 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will there exist popular smart glasses with LLM integration by 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Popular - subjective.