Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will there be another nation-wide blackout in Spain by 2027??

Manifold Markets prijst No op 86.8% per 3 november 2026.

Will there be another nation-wide blackout in Spain by 2027?

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Nee 86.8%

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binary

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Voorspelling

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Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden

Verouderd

1 jan 26, 14:38 UTC30 dec 26, 23:59 UTC

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TLDR: If another similar blackout (such as the one from April 2025), happens before the end of 2026, it resolves YES.

Resolution criteria
This market resolves YES if Spain experiences a nationwide blackout affecting mainland peninsular Spain (excluding islands), that affects a significant portion of the country's electricity grid.
Resolution will be based on official statements from Red Eléctrica (Spain's grid operator) or Spanish government sources confirming a nationwide blackout event.
The market resolves NO if no such event occurs by the end date.
On April 28, 2025, a major power blackout occurred across the Iberian Peninsula affecting mainland Portugal and peninsular Spain, where electric power was interrupted for about ten hours in most of the Peninsula and longer in some areas.