Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 61.3%
Voorspellers
7
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd28 aug 24, 12:26 UTC31 dec 26, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will @NickyCase consider herself a rationalist by 2027?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWill I remain in Montreal past September?
Manifold MarketsWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
KalshiWhat will we name our second kid?
Manifold MarketsRegels
A self-labeled rationalist (rat-adjacent/EA/longtermist), intentionally planned group house/apartment complex inhabited by at least 5 non-relatives, in Prague.
Open markten
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64+4.5pt48%
- 65-8929.4%
- <40+2.0pt13.7%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 38,6K
- 24u volume
- € 9,7K
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No86%
- Yes+12.0pt14%
- Totaal volume
- € 10,6K
- 24u volume
- € 3,9K
KALSHIWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
- No87%
- Yes+1.0pt13%
- Totaal volume
- € 8,3K
- 24u volume
- € 1,5K
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-4.5pt75.3%
- Yes+4.5pt24.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 14,4K
- 24u volume
- € 807,6
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Totaal volume
- € 515,7
- 24u volume
- € 515,7
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Totaal volume
- € 515,7
- 24u volume
- € 515,7
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- Is Earth flat?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
- Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date
- Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will there be a rationalist group house in Prague before 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 61% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will there be a rationalist group house in Prague before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will there be a rationalist group house in Prague before 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will there be a rationalist group house in Prague before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: A self-labeled rationalist (rat-adjacent/EA/longtermist), intentionally planned group house/apartment complex inhabited by at least 5 non-relatives, in Prague.