Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 63.1%
Voorspellers
12
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd21 feb 24, 11:31 UTC31 dec 99, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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KalshiRegels
This market is about the extinction risk of the Western Gorilla species in the current century, regardless of subspecies.
- The market will resolve YES if the Western Gorilla is extinct in 2100.
- It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Western_gorilla
- IUCN assessment
- https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/9404/136250858
Open markten
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 211K
- 24u volume
- € 110,5K
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- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 28,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 21,3K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 5,2K
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 extra uitkomsten
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- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
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- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
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- Natural Disaster in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the Western Gorilla (Gorilla gorilla) become extinct in the current century??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 63% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the Western Gorilla (Gorilla gorilla) become extinct in the current century? afgewikkeld?
- Will the Western Gorilla (Gorilla gorilla) become extinct in the current century? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2099 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the Western Gorilla (Gorilla gorilla) become extinct in the current century? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market is about the extinction risk of the Western Gorilla species in the current century, regardless of subspecies.